A man in a light-colored t-shirt stands against a white background, facing right, with his hand raised to his forehead as if looking into the distance—like buyers searching for a spring 2025 market update.
By: Michael Rice

Market Update | May 2025

Westlake Village, Agoura Hills, Oak Park, Thousand Oaks and Newbury Park

By: Michael Rice | May 2, 2025


My View From Inside

Traditionally, spring is the time of year when the most buyers come out ready to battle over the few listings that were available to buy.

 – That hasn’t quite happened this year—but it’s only May. Hope remains…

Where Are All the Buyers?

The year started off with a lot of optimism in the real estate market.

  • Buyers were back
  • Homes were selling fast

But that momentum slowed. Economic uncertainty crept in, putting a wet blanket over the housing market. Recession talk and concern about the job market have caused many buyers to take a wait-and-see approach.

But not all buyers have stepped back.


First-Time Buyers vs. Repeat Buyers

First-Time Buyers: Homes that traditionally appeal to younger buyers and families have been the most affected. With high home prices, rising interest rates, and increasing insurance costs, many young families are hesitant to jump in.

Move-Up Buyers: Those who’ve gained equity from their current homes are still active. In fact, higher-end properties—normally slower to move—are sometimes selling faster than mid-range homes.

Downsizers: More established buyers, who are typically less impacted by economic shifts, continue to drive the market. Single-story and downsizer-friendly homes are still flying off the shelves—comparatively speaking.

Overall, The Market Is More Balanced

We’ve shifted from a strong seller’s market to something much more balanced. With some neighborhoods even tilting towards a buyer’s market. The days of ultra-low inventory and cheap mortgages are in the rearview mirror—for now.


Local Snapshot (Conejo Valley – End of April):

  • 475 active listings, compared to 278 this time last year — a 70% increase
  • Homes are taking longer to sell – 45 days on average
  • Price reductions are becoming more frequent
  • Prices remain strong, up 11% year-over-year
     → Median home price: $1,173,888
  • Mortgage rates ended April at 6.7% – down from 7% last year

Bottom Line:

For Buyers: You’ve got more choices and less pressure – but the best homes that appeal to move-up and downsizers still go fast. First-time buyers – this is your chance to negotiate.

For Sellers: It’s time to re-adjust our thinking. Strategy matters. Pricing, presentation, and timing are key to standing out and capturing today’s buyers. Passive marketing won’t cut it anymore.   


 

Ready to Make a Move?

Whether you’re buying or selling, the market is shifting—and strategy matters. Let’s connect for a quick, no-pressure conversation about your options.

Let’s talk: (818) 384-9929 | Michael@ConejoValleyGuy.com


 

Read: My Advice for a Successful Home Purchase or Sale This Year

Buying in 2025      Selling in 2025

 


 

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What to expect moving forward

  • Inventory is on the rise: March and February saw a 45% year-over-year increase in new listings—a trend that’s expected to peak in May or June.
  • Mortgage rates will stay active: Rates are projected to hover in the mid-to-upper 6% range throughout the year. Buyers should keep an eye on fluctuations.
  • A slower return of buyers: Listings are growing faster than buyer demand, shifting the market toward a more balanced—or even buyer-friendly—environment.
  • Opportunities to negotiate: Homes sitting on the market for 30+ days may offer more flexibility on price. Don’t be afraid to make an offer.

 

Seller’s Corner

The uptick in competition from other homes for sale is shifting the market away a from sellers. It’s definitely not the seller’s market of years past. It’s critically important to price your home correctly from the beginning. Buyers are eagerly waiting to pounce on the popular homes. If you miss that first window to attract a buyer, you may have a tough time getting them to come back again once you inevitably drop the price.

Learn more about selling your home in 2025

What's The 2025 California Forecast?

According to the California Association of REALTORS

  • The median price of a home is expected to increase 4.6% in 2025.
  • The number of home sales is expected to increase 10.5%.
  • Interest rates are expected to average 5.9% in 2025.

Market Snapshot

Market update: Line graph shows median sales prices for homes rising from around $700K in 2016 to $1,173,888 in April 2024. With a 12-month change of +11.0%, buyers should note last year’s median was $1,057,500 ahead of May 2025 trends.

Home Prices

  • The median price of a Conejo Valley home was up in April to $1,173,888.
  • That’s 1 month up year over year.
  • Prices are up 11% from $1,057,500 last April.
  • And up $23,888 from last month.
Market update: Line graph shows active real estate inventory from Jan 2022 to Apr 2024, peaking near 900, dipping below 400, and rising to 475 in April 2024—a 70.9% increase—offering buyers more options heading into spring 2025.

Homes For Sale

  • April ended with 475 homes for sale.
  • Up 70% from last April.
  • That’s 197 more homes than last year.
  • And 52 more homes than last month.
Market update: Line graph showing the median number of days from property listing to closing from 2016 to 2024, peaking at several points and ending at 45 days in April 2024, a 15.4% increase from 39 days in April 2023—key info for buyers ahead of spring 2025.

Days on Market

  • It took 45 days on average to sell a home in April.
  • Up 45.4% from last April.
  • That’s 6 more days than last year.
  • And 20 more day than last month.

Interest Rates

STEP 1:

FIRST MEETING

We’ll talk through your plans and what buying looks like in the Conejo Valley.

STEP 2:

AREA & HOME TOURS

You’ll get a feel for how the towns connect and which ones feel right to you.

STEP 3:

OFFERS → CLOSING

I’ll guide you through offers, negotiations, and all the way to closing.